Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.724141 0.830890 0.947166 1.083121 1.237628 1.407659 1.608867
2024-12-22 0.551573 0.692482 0.859333 1.071059 1.332164 1.643203 2.041433
2024-12-29 0.443250 0.604416 0.810384 1.091913 1.465638 1.943554 2.599841
2025-01-05 0.350202 0.515942 0.743372 1.076404 1.549515 2.195063 3.139877
2025-01-12 0.288991 0.457408 0.704198 1.089169 1.670971 2.512921 3.818132
2025-01-19 0.232448 0.393739 0.645172 1.061352 1.727667 2.745970 4.410639
2025-01-26 0.202763 0.365459 0.633805 1.102547 1.893139 3.162042 5.337292
2025-02-02 0.181198 0.346050 0.632583 1.158644 2.089483 3.652079 6.449506
2025-02-09 0.156720 0.316453 0.608404 1.170536 2.211614 4.035185 7.436232
2025-02-16 0.135051 0.287623 0.580181 1.169521 2.309090 4.386741 8.413470
2025-02-23 0.117583 0.263465 0.556225 1.171741 2.411301 4.757856 9.472341
2025-03-02 0.102537 0.241250 0.532040 1.168912 2.502067 5.117424 10.553784
2025-03-09 0.091895 0.226814 0.521985 1.194713 2.656824 5.625855 12.003325
2025-03-16 0.080093 0.207377 0.497933 1.186857 2.740861 6.005707 13.248689
2025-03-23 0.072399 0.196123 0.490094 1.213477 2.902944 6.566822 14.942859
2025-03-30 0.063183 0.179145 0.466001 1.198663 2.970332 6.935926 16.276502
2025-04-06 0.056949 0.168595 0.455483 1.214368 3.110279 7.481368 18.067940
2025-04-13 0.049312 0.152574 0.428404 1.184496 3.136857 7.774574 19.326687
2025-04-20 0.046065 0.148289 0.430983 1.230925 3.358131 8.546918 21.797024
2025-04-27 0.043742 0.146240 0.439222 1.293714 3.630177 9.474040 24.751141
2025-05-04 0.039800 0.138381 0.429955 1.307238 3.775681 10.110293 27.072497
2025-05-11 0.035837 0.129565 0.416358 1.306312 3.882301 10.662521 29.251876
2025-05-18 0.032443 0.121858 0.404648 1.308914 3.999114 11.255518 31.609063